find the condition distribution of $Y_1 mid Y_1 + Y_2$ when $Y_1,Y_1$ are Poisson distributed
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Suppose that we have to independent Poisson RV:s. $Y_1 sim Po(lambda_1), Y_2 sim Po(lambda_1c) $ for some constant $c$
I want to find the distribution $Y_1mid Y_1 +Y_2 $ : here is my attempt but I don't see how this leads to some known distribution.
First:
$P(Y_1 =y_1,Y_1+Y_2 = t) = P(Y_1 = y_1, Y_2 = t-y_1) = P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1) $
$P(Y_1=y_1|Y_1 + Y_2 = t) = dfracP(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1)sum_s leq t P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-s) = dfrace^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^y_1y_1!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-y_1(t-y_1)!sum_sleq te^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^ss!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-st-s! $
probability poisson-distribution
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Suppose that we have to independent Poisson RV:s. $Y_1 sim Po(lambda_1), Y_2 sim Po(lambda_1c) $ for some constant $c$
I want to find the distribution $Y_1mid Y_1 +Y_2 $ : here is my attempt but I don't see how this leads to some known distribution.
First:
$P(Y_1 =y_1,Y_1+Y_2 = t) = P(Y_1 = y_1, Y_2 = t-y_1) = P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1) $
$P(Y_1=y_1|Y_1 + Y_2 = t) = dfracP(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1)sum_s leq t P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-s) = dfrace^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^y_1y_1!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-y_1(t-y_1)!sum_sleq te^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^ss!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-st-s! $
probability poisson-distribution
Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
– Arnaud Mortier
Jul 15 at 21:32
Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
– Graham Kemp
Jul 15 at 21:34
ok i fixed it ..
– Danny
Jul 15 at 21:37
add a comment |Â
up vote
0
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up vote
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down vote
favorite
Suppose that we have to independent Poisson RV:s. $Y_1 sim Po(lambda_1), Y_2 sim Po(lambda_1c) $ for some constant $c$
I want to find the distribution $Y_1mid Y_1 +Y_2 $ : here is my attempt but I don't see how this leads to some known distribution.
First:
$P(Y_1 =y_1,Y_1+Y_2 = t) = P(Y_1 = y_1, Y_2 = t-y_1) = P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1) $
$P(Y_1=y_1|Y_1 + Y_2 = t) = dfracP(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1)sum_s leq t P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-s) = dfrace^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^y_1y_1!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-y_1(t-y_1)!sum_sleq te^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^ss!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-st-s! $
probability poisson-distribution
Suppose that we have to independent Poisson RV:s. $Y_1 sim Po(lambda_1), Y_2 sim Po(lambda_1c) $ for some constant $c$
I want to find the distribution $Y_1mid Y_1 +Y_2 $ : here is my attempt but I don't see how this leads to some known distribution.
First:
$P(Y_1 =y_1,Y_1+Y_2 = t) = P(Y_1 = y_1, Y_2 = t-y_1) = P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1) $
$P(Y_1=y_1|Y_1 + Y_2 = t) = dfracP(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1)sum_s leq t P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-s) = dfrace^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^y_1y_1!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-y_1(t-y_1)!sum_sleq te^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^ss!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-st-s! $
probability poisson-distribution
edited Jul 15 at 22:10
Bernard
110k635103
110k635103
asked Jul 15 at 21:27
Danny
659719
659719
Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
– Arnaud Mortier
Jul 15 at 21:32
Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
– Graham Kemp
Jul 15 at 21:34
ok i fixed it ..
– Danny
Jul 15 at 21:37
add a comment |Â
Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
– Arnaud Mortier
Jul 15 at 21:32
Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
– Graham Kemp
Jul 15 at 21:34
ok i fixed it ..
– Danny
Jul 15 at 21:37
Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
– Arnaud Mortier
Jul 15 at 21:32
Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
– Arnaud Mortier
Jul 15 at 21:32
Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
– Graham Kemp
Jul 15 at 21:34
Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
– Graham Kemp
Jul 15 at 21:34
ok i fixed it ..
– Danny
Jul 15 at 21:37
ok i fixed it ..
– Danny
Jul 15 at 21:37
add a comment |Â
2 Answers
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accepted
$Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.
Therefore:
$$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$
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The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.
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2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
$Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.
Therefore:
$$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$
add a comment |Â
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
$Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.
Therefore:
$$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$
add a comment |Â
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
$Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.
Therefore:
$$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$
$Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.
Therefore:
$$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$
answered Jul 15 at 21:47


Graham Kemp
80.1k43275
80.1k43275
add a comment |Â
add a comment |Â
up vote
1
down vote
The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.
add a comment |Â
up vote
1
down vote
The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.
add a comment |Â
up vote
1
down vote
up vote
1
down vote
The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.
The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.
answered Jul 15 at 22:05
joriki
164k10180328
164k10180328
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add a comment |Â
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Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
– Arnaud Mortier
Jul 15 at 21:32
Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
– Graham Kemp
Jul 15 at 21:34
ok i fixed it ..
– Danny
Jul 15 at 21:37