find the condition distribution of $Y_1 mid Y_1 + Y_2$ when $Y_1,Y_1$ are Poisson distributed

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Suppose that we have to independent Poisson RV:s. $Y_1 sim Po(lambda_1), Y_2 sim Po(lambda_1c) $ for some constant $c$



I want to find the distribution $Y_1mid Y_1 +Y_2 $ : here is my attempt but I don't see how this leads to some known distribution.



First:



$P(Y_1 =y_1,Y_1+Y_2 = t) = P(Y_1 = y_1, Y_2 = t-y_1) = P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1) $



$P(Y_1=y_1|Y_1 + Y_2 = t) = dfracP(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1)sum_s leq t P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-s) = dfrace^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^y_1y_1!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-y_1(t-y_1)!sum_sleq te^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^ss!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-st-s! $







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  • Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
    – Arnaud Mortier
    Jul 15 at 21:32











  • Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
    – Graham Kemp
    Jul 15 at 21:34










  • ok i fixed it ..
    – Danny
    Jul 15 at 21:37














up vote
0
down vote

favorite












Suppose that we have to independent Poisson RV:s. $Y_1 sim Po(lambda_1), Y_2 sim Po(lambda_1c) $ for some constant $c$



I want to find the distribution $Y_1mid Y_1 +Y_2 $ : here is my attempt but I don't see how this leads to some known distribution.



First:



$P(Y_1 =y_1,Y_1+Y_2 = t) = P(Y_1 = y_1, Y_2 = t-y_1) = P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1) $



$P(Y_1=y_1|Y_1 + Y_2 = t) = dfracP(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1)sum_s leq t P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-s) = dfrace^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^y_1y_1!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-y_1(t-y_1)!sum_sleq te^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^ss!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-st-s! $







share|cite|improve this question





















  • Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
    – Arnaud Mortier
    Jul 15 at 21:32











  • Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
    – Graham Kemp
    Jul 15 at 21:34










  • ok i fixed it ..
    – Danny
    Jul 15 at 21:37












up vote
0
down vote

favorite









up vote
0
down vote

favorite











Suppose that we have to independent Poisson RV:s. $Y_1 sim Po(lambda_1), Y_2 sim Po(lambda_1c) $ for some constant $c$



I want to find the distribution $Y_1mid Y_1 +Y_2 $ : here is my attempt but I don't see how this leads to some known distribution.



First:



$P(Y_1 =y_1,Y_1+Y_2 = t) = P(Y_1 = y_1, Y_2 = t-y_1) = P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1) $



$P(Y_1=y_1|Y_1 + Y_2 = t) = dfracP(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1)sum_s leq t P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-s) = dfrace^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^y_1y_1!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-y_1(t-y_1)!sum_sleq te^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^ss!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-st-s! $







share|cite|improve this question













Suppose that we have to independent Poisson RV:s. $Y_1 sim Po(lambda_1), Y_2 sim Po(lambda_1c) $ for some constant $c$



I want to find the distribution $Y_1mid Y_1 +Y_2 $ : here is my attempt but I don't see how this leads to some known distribution.



First:



$P(Y_1 =y_1,Y_1+Y_2 = t) = P(Y_1 = y_1, Y_2 = t-y_1) = P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1) $



$P(Y_1=y_1|Y_1 + Y_2 = t) = dfracP(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-y_1)sum_s leq t P(Y_1 = y_1) P(Y_2 = t-s) = dfrace^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^y_1y_1!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-y_1(t-y_1)!sum_sleq te^-lambda_1dfraclambda_1^ss!e^-lambda_1cdfrac(lambda_1c)^t-st-s! $









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edited Jul 15 at 22:10









Bernard

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asked Jul 15 at 21:27









Danny

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  • Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
    – Arnaud Mortier
    Jul 15 at 21:32











  • Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
    – Graham Kemp
    Jul 15 at 21:34










  • ok i fixed it ..
    – Danny
    Jul 15 at 21:37
















  • Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
    – Arnaud Mortier
    Jul 15 at 21:32











  • Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
    – Graham Kemp
    Jul 15 at 21:34










  • ok i fixed it ..
    – Danny
    Jul 15 at 21:37















Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
– Arnaud Mortier
Jul 15 at 21:32





Can't you get rid of exponentials? Put $lambda_1$s together? Also avoid using $y_1$ both as a bound and free variable in the same equation.
– Arnaud Mortier
Jul 15 at 21:32













Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
– Graham Kemp
Jul 15 at 21:34




Note: There should be no $y_2$ in the expression. They should be $t-y_1$.
– Graham Kemp
Jul 15 at 21:34












ok i fixed it ..
– Danny
Jul 15 at 21:37




ok i fixed it ..
– Danny
Jul 15 at 21:37










2 Answers
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$Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.



Therefore:



$$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$






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    The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.






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      2 Answers
      2






      active

      oldest

      votes








      2 Answers
      2






      active

      oldest

      votes









      active

      oldest

      votes






      active

      oldest

      votes








      up vote
      1
      down vote



      accepted










      $Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.



      Therefore:



      $$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$






      share|cite|improve this answer

























        up vote
        1
        down vote



        accepted










        $Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.



        Therefore:



        $$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$






        share|cite|improve this answer























          up vote
          1
          down vote



          accepted







          up vote
          1
          down vote



          accepted






          $Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.



          Therefore:



          $$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$






          share|cite|improve this answer













          $Y_1+Y_2simmathcal Ptextois((1+c)lambda_1)$ because you have arrivals occuring independently at constant rates $lambda_1$ and $clambda_1$ in two independent Poison processes; so arrivals are occuring independently at constant rate $(1+c)lambda_1$ in a Poison process.



          Therefore:



          $$sum_s=0^t dfrace^lambda_1lambda_1^ss!dfrace^clambda_1(clambda_1)^t-s(t-s)!~=~ dfrace^(1+c)lambda_1((1+c)lambda_1)^tt!$$







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          answered Jul 15 at 21:47









          Graham Kemp

          80.1k43275




          80.1k43275




















              up vote
              1
              down vote













              The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.






              share|cite|improve this answer

























                up vote
                1
                down vote













                The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.






                share|cite|improve this answer























                  up vote
                  1
                  down vote










                  up vote
                  1
                  down vote









                  The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.






                  share|cite|improve this answer













                  The situation can be viewed as one process with parameter $(1+c)lambda_1$ in which the elements are independently randomly marked as members of $Y_1$ with probability $frac 11+c$ and as members of $Y_2$ with probability $frac c1+c$. Knowing how many elements the overall process produced doesn't change this fact. Thus, if you know that $Y_1+Y_2=t$, then $Y_1$ is distributed according to $mathsfBinomialleft(t,frac11+cright)$.







                  share|cite|improve this answer













                  share|cite|improve this answer



                  share|cite|improve this answer











                  answered Jul 15 at 22:05









                  joriki

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